← Serie B 2020 · Mon, Jan 4, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Sozza
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.07 |
| Frosinone Calcio win | 29% | 3.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio +0.25 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Spal +0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.71 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Grigoris Kastanos · Frosinone Calcio |
| 40' | ⚽ | Salvatore Esposito · Spal |
| 53' | 🟨 | Nenad Tomović · Spal |
| 87' | ⚽ | Alberto Paloschi · Spal |
| 90' | 🟨 | Grigoris Kastanos · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| coach days | 583.00 | 156.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1502.34 | 1488.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.37 | -23.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.80 |
| league points | 25.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 8.13 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.19 | 0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.99 | 26.59 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |