← Serie B 2020 · Mon, Jan 4, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina win | 39% | 2.52 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Ascoli win | 29% | 3.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli +0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Reggina +0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Daniele Liotti · Reggina |
| 26' | 🟨 | Riccardo Brosco · Ascoli |
| 62' | 🟨 | Francesco De Rose · Reggina |
| 83' | ⚽ | Gianmarco Cangiano · Ascoli |
| 87' | 🟨 | Oliver Kragl · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gianmarco Cangiano · Ascoli |
| 90' | ⚽ | Oliver Kragl · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 34.00 | 34.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1347.55 | 1358.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.10 | 24.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.72 |
| league points | 10.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 4.96 | 5.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.59 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.92 | 27.87 |
| state index | -0.82 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |