β Serie B 2020 Β· Mon, Jan 4, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: I. Robilotta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Pisa win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC β0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Pisa β0.25 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | π¨ | Mattia Aramu Β· Venezia FC |
| 39' | β½ | Michele Marconi Β· Pisa |
| 41' | π¨ | Luca Fiordilino Β· Venezia FC |
| 45' | π¨ | Marius Marin Β· Pisa |
| 54' | π¨ | Francesco Lisi Β· Pisa |
| 58' | π¨ | Pietro Ceccaroni Β· Venezia FC |
| 72' | π¨ | Antonio Caracciolo Β· Pisa |
| 83' | β½ | Michael Svoboda Β· Venezia FC |
| 90' | π¨ | Alessandro De Vitis Β· Pisa |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
| 11 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 156.00 | 948.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1477.04 | 1457.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.90 | 35.39 |
| eye test v1 | 0.61 | 0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| league points | 27.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 4.75 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.82 | -1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.31 | 27.17 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | -1.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |