← Serie B 2020 · Wed, Dec 30, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Irrati
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo win | 47% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.12 |
| Venezia FC win | 22% | 4.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Chievo −0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Francesco Forte · Venezia FC |
| 25' | 🟨 | Luca Palmiero · Chievo |
| 35' | 🟨 | Domen Črnigoj · Venezia FC |
| 74' | 🟨 | Michael Svoboda · Venezia FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Riccardo Bocalon · Venezia FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Guillaume Gigliotti · Chievo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chievo | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi |
| coach days | 304.00 | 151.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 2.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1525.04 | 1473.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.79 | -25.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.74 |
| league points | 20.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 8.08 | 3.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | 1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.18 | 25.11 |
| state index | 0.11 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | 0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |