← Serie B 2020 · Wed, Dec 30, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Camplone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 68% | 1.43 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.75 |
| Ascoli win | 12% | 8.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −1.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Empoli −1.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Riad Bajić · Ascoli |
| 40' | 🟨 | Abdelhamid Sabiri · Ascoli |
| 52' | 🟨 | Leo Štulac · Empoli |
| 66' | 🟨 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
| 72' | ⚽ | Stefano Moreo · Empoli |
| 79' | 🟨 | Mirko Eramo · Ascoli |
| 79' | 🟨 | Cosimo Chiricò · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Empoli | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.41 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Carlo Castellani |
| coach days | 151.00 | 29.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.39 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1564.50 | 1340.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.31 | -16.71 |
| eye test v1 | 1.00 | 0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.73 |
| league points | 31.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.45 |
| season ppg | 1.94 | 0.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.80 | -7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.51 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 7.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.13 | 26.46 |
| state index | 0.69 | -1.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.45 | -0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |