← Serie B 2020 · Wed, Dec 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Mariani
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina win | 41% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.03 |
| Cremonese win | 27% | 3.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Reggina −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Enrico Del Prato · Reggina |
| 45' | 🟨 | Emanuele Valeri · Cremonese |
| 45' | ⚽ | Michael Folorunsho · Reggina |
| 76' | 🟨 | Luca Strizzolo · Cremonese |
| 76' | 🟨 | Luca Strizzolo · Cremonese |
| 76' | 🟥 | Luca Strizzolo · Cremonese |
| 81' | 🟨 | Rigoberto Rivas · Reggina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggina | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Oreste Granillo |
| coach days | 29.00 | 304.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1348.08 | 1426.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.86 | -4.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.44 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 45.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| league points | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 3.10 | 2.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | -0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.80 | 26.45 |
| state index | -0.68 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | -1.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |