← Serie B 2020 · Wed, Dec 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone win | 53% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
| Reggiana win | 20% | 5.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Pordenone −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Augustus Kargbo · Reggiana |
| 21' | ⚽ | Davide Diaw · Pordenone |
| 27' | 🟨 | Roberto Zammarini · Pordenone |
| 42' | ⚽ | Roberto Zammarini · Pordenone |
| 52' | ⚽ | Patrick Ciurria · Pordenone |
| 69' | 🟨 | Alessandro Bassoli · Pordenone |
| 71' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Pordenone |
| 80' | 🟥 | Michele Cerofolini · Reggiana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 0 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pordenone | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Guido Teghil |
| coach days | 1049.00 | 548.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.17 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1470.94 | 1454.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.56 | -23.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.90 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.85 |
| league points | 19.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.34 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.09 | 25.44 |
| state index | -0.42 | -0.86 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |