← Serie B 2020 · Wed, Dec 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Piccinini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 37% | 2.64 |
| US Lecce win | 34% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| US Lecce +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Roberto Ogunseye · Cittadella |
| 18' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 25' | 🟨 | Fabio Lucioni · US Lecce |
| 45' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 58' | 🟨 | John Björkengren · US Lecce |
| 64' | ⚽ | Camillo Tavernelli · Cittadella |
| 70' | 🟨 | Federico Proia · Cittadella |
| 85' | 🟨 | Biagio Meccariello · US Lecce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 16 |
| 8 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 2009.00 | 151.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1548.30 | 1554.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.52 | -28.00 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | 0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 2.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.71 |
| league points | 29.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 7.83 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 2.07 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 18.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | 0.96 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.85 | 28.33 |
| state index | 1.00 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |