← Serie B 2020 · Sun, Dec 27, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Marchetti
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 43% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.15 |
| Cremonese win | 26% | 3.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Cremonese +0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Antonino Barillà · AC Monza |
| 30' | 🟨 | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 32' | 🟨 | Andrea D'Errico · AC Monza |
| 44' | 🟨 | Marco Fossati · AC Monza |
| 54' | 🟨 | Marco Armellino · AC Monza |
| 76' | ⚽ | Davide Frattesi · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | AC Monza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 301.00 | 818.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 2.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1443.90 | 1437.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.07 | 20.34 |
| eye test v1 | 0.46 | 1.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 42.80 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.66 |
| league points | 15.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 85.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 5.08 | 5.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.14 | 1.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 25.26 | 27.23 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.48 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |