← Serie B 2020 · Sun, Dec 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Pairetto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.24 |
| Salernitana win | 23% | 4.21 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Venezia FC −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Tacchio · Salernitana |
| 34' | ⚽ | André Anderson · Salernitana |
| 36' | 🟨 | Walter López · Salernitana |
| 38' | ⚽ | André Anderson · Salernitana |
| 54' | 🟨 | Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason · Venezia FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Domen Črnigoj · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 23 | Shots | 5 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 148.00 | 148.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.90 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1485.59 | 1488.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.41 | 4.40 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | -1.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.80 |
| league points | 26.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 65.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 39.60 |
| rest days | 4.83 | 5.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.76 | -1.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.69 | 28.65 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.63 | -0.90 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |