← Serie B 2020 · Tue, Dec 22, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Sozza
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 59% | 1.64 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.10 |
| Reggiana win | 17% | 5.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana −1 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Empoli −1 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Simone Romagnoli · Empoli |
| 45' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Zampano · Reggiana |
| 56' | 🟨 | Simone Romagnoli · Empoli |
| 56' | 🟥 | Simone Romagnoli · Empoli |
| 60' | 🟨 | Simone Muratore · Reggiana |
| 89' | 🟨 | Salvatore Pezzella · Reggiana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Empoli | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Carlo Castellani |
| coach days | 143.00 | 540.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.86 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1553.05 | 1465.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.84 | -2.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.54 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 51.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.84 |
| league points | 27.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 3.29 | 3.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.93 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.69 | 0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.61 | 26.19 |
| state index | 0.45 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |