← Serie B 2020 · Tue, Dec 22, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Rapuano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 69% | 1.39 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.00 |
| Ascoli win | 11% | 9.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza −1.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Ascoli −1.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under | 41% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Davide Bettella · AC Monza |
| 34' | ⚽ | Carlos Augusto · AC Monza |
| 47' | 🟨 | Marco Armellino · AC Monza |
| 64' | 🟨 | Alberto Gerbo · Ascoli |
| 78' | 🟨 | Abdelhamid Sabiri · Ascoli |
| 85' | 🟨 | Marco Fossati · AC Monza |
| 88' | ⚽ | Davide Frattesi · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AC Monza | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.39 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | U-Power Stadium |
| coach days | 813.00 | 21.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1429.00 | 1328.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.51 | -32.05 |
| eye test v1 | 1.24 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.72 |
| league points | 21.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 3.13 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.56 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.20 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.08 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.84 | 25.40 |
| state index | 0.07 | -1.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |