← Serie B 2020 · Tue, Dec 22, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Doveri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Spal win | 32% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| US Lecce +0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Nenad Tomović · Spal |
| 43' | 🟨 | Mattia Valoti · Spal |
| 46' | 🟨 | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 79' | ⚽ | Gabriel Strefezza · Spal |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fabio Lucioni · US Lecce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 18 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 143.00 | 143.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1512.12 | 1553.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.60 | -25.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.82 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 46.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 2.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.75 |
| league points | 26.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | 1.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.11 | 28.28 |
| state index | 0.09 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |