← Serie B 2020 · Mon, Dec 21, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 57% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.73 |
| Virtus Entella win | 17% | 5.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Virtus Entella −0.75 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Federico Bonini · Virtus Entella |
| 38' | ⚽ | Matteo Mancosu · Virtus Entella |
| 47' | ⚽ | Gennaro Tutino · Salernitana |
| 57' | 🟨 | Andrea Schiavone · Salernitana |
| 65' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Poli · Virtus Entella |
| 66' | ⚽ (pen) | Milan Đurić · Salernitana |
| 74' | 🟨 | Gabriel Cleur · Virtus Entella |
| 78' | 🟨 | Frédéric Veseli · Salernitana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tomi Petrović · Virtus Entella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 0 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 142.00 | 50.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1483.34 | 1341.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.23 | -49.57 |
| eye test v1 | -1.15 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 46.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.63 |
| league points | 26.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 16.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.60 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.40 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | — |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 0.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.60 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -2.15 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 29.37 | 27.57 |
| state index | -0.06 | -2.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.46 | 1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |