← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Dec 19, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Reggina win | 28% | 3.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Cittadella +0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Daniele Liotti · Reggina |
| 40' | ⚽ (pen) | Frank Tsadjout · Cittadella |
| 53' | ⚽ | Federico Proia · Cittadella |
| 57' | 🟨 | Francesco De Rose · Reggina |
| 58' | 🟥 | Daniele Liotti · Reggina |
| 60' | 🟨 | Daniele Donnarumma · Cittadella |
| 65' | 🟨 | Romano Perticone · Cittadella |
| 70' | ⚽ | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 81' | 🟨 | Dimitrios Stavropoulos · Reggina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggina | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Oreste Granillo |
| coach days | 18.00 | 1998.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.51 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1334.36 | 1531.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.48 | 43.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.00 | 64.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| league points | 10.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 4.71 | 3.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.61 | 27.10 |
| state index | -1.02 | 0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |