← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Dec 19, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Serra
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 37% | 2.72 |
| Spal win | 32% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.13 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Spal +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Luca Fiordilino · Venezia FC |
| 37' | 🟨 | Alessandro Capello · Venezia FC |
| 64' | 🟨 | Riccardo Bocalon · Venezia FC |
| 66' | 🟨 | Michael Svoboda · Venezia FC |
| 67' | 🟨 | Francesco Vicari · Spal |
| 68' | 🟨 | Leonardo Sernicola · Spal |
| 90' | 🟨 | Francesco Forte · Venezia FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Salvatore Esposito · Spal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 140.00 | 140.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 3.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1485.79 | 1511.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.53 | 12.80 |
| eye test v1 | 0.61 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.79 |
| league points | 24.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 4.88 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.61 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.99 | 28.26 |
| state index | -0.00 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |