← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Dec 19, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Camplone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Reggiana win | 21% | 4.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −0.5 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Reggiana −0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Ernesto Torregrossa · Brescia |
| 19' | 🟨 | Luca Zamparo · Reggiana |
| 30' | 🟨 | Andrea Costa · Reggiana |
| 32' | ⚽ | Igor Radrezza · Reggiana |
| 33' | 🟨 | Daniele Dessena · Brescia |
| 37' | 🟨 | Andrea Papetti · Brescia |
| 40' | 🟨 | Stefano Sabelli · Brescia |
| 45' | ⚽ | Filip Jagiełło · Brescia |
| 48' | 🟨 | Filip Jagiełło · Brescia |
| 71' | 🟨 | Simone Muratore · Reggiana |
| 80' | 🟨 | Aleš Matějů · Brescia |
| 81' | ⚽ | Antonino Ragusa · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 0 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.56 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 18.00 | 537.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1489.56 | 1477.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.86 | -3.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.48 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.90 |
| league points | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 3.71 | 3.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.11 | 0.46 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -10.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.39 | 26.03 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |