β Serie B 2020 Β· Sat, Dec 19, 01:00 PM UTC Β· ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo win | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.37 |
| Empoli win | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo β0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Empoli β0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.87 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | β½ | Joel Obi Β· Chievo |
| 22' | π¨ | Francesco Renzetti Β· Chievo |
| 60' | β½ | Andrea La Mantia Β· Empoli |
| 69' | π¨ | Francesco Renzetti Β· Chievo |
| 69' | π₯ | Francesco Renzetti Β· Chievo |
| 84' | π¨ | Francesco Margiotta Β· Chievo |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chievo | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi |
| coach days | 293.00 | 140.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1526.30 | 1552.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.12 | 7.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | 0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.86 | 0.83 |
| league points | 18.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 3.71 | 3.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | 0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.19 | 25.76 |
| state index | 0.14 | 0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |