← Serie B 2020 · Fri, Dec 18, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Illuzzi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.29 |
| Virtus Entella win | 28% | 3.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Pordenone +0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Andrea Settembrini · Virtus Entella |
| 5' | 🟨 | Andrea Paolucci · Virtus Entella |
| 6' | ⚽ (pen) | Davide Diaw · Pordenone |
| 27' | 🟨 | Filippo Costa · Virtus Entella |
| 54' | 🟨 | Manuel Scavone · Pordenone |
| 68' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Pordenone |
| 76' | 🟨 | Luca Magnino · Pordenone |
| 78' | 🟨 | Giuseppe De Luca · Virtus Entella |
| 83' | 🟨 | Davide Diaw · Pordenone |
| 90' | 🟨 | Markus Pavić · Virtus Entella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 21 | Fouls | 16 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Virtus Entella | Pordenone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Chiavari |
| coach days | 47.00 | 1037.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.01 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1349.37 | 1473.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.76 | -1.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.80 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.83 |
| league points | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 2.92 | 2.92 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.42 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.35 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.91 | 25.89 |
| state index | -1.88 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.63 | -0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |