← Serie B 2020 · Tue, Dec 15, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Meraviglia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 64% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Virtus Entella win | 13% | 7.73 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza −1 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Virtus Entella −1 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Kevin-Prince Boateng · AC Monza |
| 29' | ⚽ | Kevin-Prince Boateng · AC Monza |
| 49' | 🟨 | Michele Pellizzer · Virtus Entella |
| 56' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Bellusci · AC Monza |
| 72' | 🟨 | Ilias Koutsoupias · Virtus Entella |
| 73' | ⚽ | Dany Mota · AC Monza |
| 79' | 🟨 | Marco Chiosa · Virtus Entella |
| 82' | ⚽ | Mario Sampirisi · AC Monza |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mario Sampirisi · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 4 |
| 12 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AC Monza | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | U-Power Stadium |
| coach days | 806.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.11 | 3.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1426.21 | 1362.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.10 | -41.21 |
| eye test v1 | 0.73 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 47.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| league points | 18.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 14.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 4.08 | 3.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | — |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.80 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.10 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.45 | 27.52 |
| state index | -0.01 | -1.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |