← Serie B 2020 · Tue, Dec 15, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Gariglio
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone win | 36% | 2.75 |
| Brescia win | 33% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Brescia +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.82 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Davide Diaw · Pordenone |
| 5' | ⚽ | Davide Diaw · Pordenone |
| 28' | 🟨 | Tom Van De Looi · Brescia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alessandro Vogliacco · Pordenone |
| 51' | 🟨 | Luca Magnino · Pordenone |
| 53' | ⚽ | Nikolas Špalek · Brescia |
| 55' | 🟨 | Tom Van De Looi · Brescia |
| 55' | 🟥 | Tom Van De Looi · Brescia |
| 67' | 🟨 | Aleš Matějů · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pordenone | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Guido Teghil |
| coach days | 1034.00 | 14.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1474.43 | 1488.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.03 | -13.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | 0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.44 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.71 |
| league points | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 3.29 | 3.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.12 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.02 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.70 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |