← Serie B 2020 · Tue, Dec 15, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Robilotta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza win | 35% | 2.80 |
| Ascoli win | 35% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Ascoli +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.77 |
| Over | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Gianluigi Sueva · Cosenza |
| 24' | 🟨 | Davide Petrucci · Cosenza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Simone Sini · Ascoli |
| 45' | ⚽ | Jaime Báez · Cosenza |
| 48' | ⚽ | Ettore Gliozzi · Cosenza |
| 57' | 🟨 | Andrea Tiritiello · Cosenza |
| 61' | 🟨 | Riccardo Brosco · Ascoli |
| 79' | ⚽ | Luca Bittante · Cosenza |
| 90' | 🟥 | Dean Lico · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 19 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 23 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 14.00 | 1475.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1357.53 | 1445.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.34 | -2.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | -0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.84 |
| league points | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 3.29 | 3.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.63 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 0.55 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.32 | 27.52 |
| state index | -1.19 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |