β Serie B 2020 Β· Sat, Dec 12, 01:00 PM UTC Β· ref: M. Marchetti
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza win | 45% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
| Reggiana win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza β0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Reggiana β0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | π¨ | Arlind Ajeti Β· Reggiana |
| 36' | π¨ | Andrea Costa Β· Reggiana |
| 43' | π¨ | Daniele Sciaudone Β· Cosenza |
| 66' | β½ | Ivan Varone Β· Reggiana |
| 76' | π¨ | Andrea Tiritiello Β· Cosenza |
| 87' | π¨ | Davide Voltan Β· Reggiana |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | β |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 1472.00 | 530.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | β |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | β |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1456.82 | 1477.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.24 | -10.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 55.12 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | β |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | β |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | β |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.94 |
| league points | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 5.71 | 5.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -9.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.86 | 26.09 |
| state index | -0.43 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | 0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | β |