← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Dec 12, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 51% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.78 |
| Frosinone Calcio win | 23% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Frosinone Calcio −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Claud Adjapong · US Lecce |
| 15' | ⚽ (pen) | Piotr Parzyszek · Frosinone Calcio |
| 44' | ⚽ | Claud Adjapong · US Lecce |
| 50' | 🟨 | Biagio Meccariello · US Lecce |
| 58' | 🟨 | Grigoris Kastanos · Frosinone Calcio |
| 60' | ⚽ | Marco Mancosu · US Lecce |
| 82' | 🟨 | Marcin Listkowski · US Lecce |
| 88' | 🟨 | Andrija Novakovich · Frosinone Calcio |
| 89' | ⚽ | Andrija Novakovich · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Panagiotis Tachtsidis · US Lecce |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Lecce | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Via del Mare |
| Marcos Curado · Frosinone Calcio |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 133.00 | 560.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1586.11 | 1499.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.28 | -8.59 |
| eye test v1 | 1.84 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.20 | 44.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.83 |
| league points | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 10.20 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 19.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.53 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.61 | 27.97 |
| state index | 1.03 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.87 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |