← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Dec 12, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: V. Marini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 53% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Ascoli win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Cremonese −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.83 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Luca Strizzolo · Cremonese |
| 26' | ⚽ | Riad Bajić · Ascoli |
| 31' | 🟨 | Cosimo Chiricò · Ascoli |
| 32' | ⚽ | Riad Bajić · Ascoli |
| 38' | 🟨 | Matteo Bianchetti · Cremonese |
| 43' | ⚽ | Francesco Deli · Cremonese |
| 45' | 🟨 | Luca Valzania · Cremonese |
| 55' | ⚽ | Francesco Deli · Cremonese |
| 57' | ⚽ | Riad Bajić · Ascoli |
| 63' | 🟨 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
| 67' | 🟨 | Emanuele Valeri · Cremonese |
| 85' | 🟨 | Samuel Gustafson · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 19 |
| 8 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.40 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 286.00 | 11.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1430.36 | 1353.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.60 | -41.82 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.40 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.71 |
| league points | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.20 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 3.96 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.73 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | -8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.33 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.03 | 26.97 |
| state index | -0.35 | -1.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.35 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |