← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Dec 12, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Aureliano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Salernitana win | 25% | 3.85 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Salernitana −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Tom Van De Looi · Brescia |
| 21' | ⚽ | Nikolas Špalek · Brescia |
| 36' | 🟨 | Antonino Ragusa · Brescia |
| 43' | ⚽ (pen) | Gennaro Tutino · Salernitana |
| 48' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Tacchio · Salernitana |
| 62' | 🟨 | André Anderson · Salernitana |
| 73' | 🟨 | Daniele Dessena · Brescia |
| 76' | ⚽ | Birkir Bjarnason · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 11.00 | 133.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1475.06 | 1492.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.65 | 31.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.79 |
| league points | 10.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 63.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 3.96 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | -1.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.06 | 27.37 |
| state index | -0.53 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | -1.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |