← Serie B 2020 · Fri, Dec 11, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo win | 49% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Reggina win | 22% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Chievo −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Francesco Margiotta · Chievo |
| 29' | 🟨 | Nicola Bellomo · Reggina |
| 37' | 🟨 | Luca Palmiero · Chievo |
| 45' | 🟨 | Enrico Del Prato · Reggina |
| 56' | 🟨 | Kyle Lafferty · Reggina |
| 57' | ⚽ | Francesco Margiotta · Chievo |
| 64' | 🟨 | Rigoberto Rivas · Reggina |
| 69' | 🟨 | Matteo Cotali · Chievo |
| 76' | ⚽ | Michele Rigione · Chievo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matteo Cotali · Chievo |
| 90' | 🟥 | Matteo Cotali · Chievo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chievo | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 4.40 |
| venue | Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi |
| coach days | 285.00 | 10.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 3.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1517.51 | 1349.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.88 | -18.91 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 49.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| league points | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 6.29 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | -0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.87 | 28.35 |
| state index | 0.13 | -0.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |