← Serie B 2020 · Fri, Dec 11, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Prontera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 37% | 2.80 |
| AC Monza win | 32% | 3.18 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Venezia FC −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Michele Cremonesi · Venezia FC |
| 11' | 🟨 | Davide Frattesi · AC Monza |
| 35' | 🟨 | Marco Fossati · AC Monza |
| 63' | ⚽ | Carlos Augusto · AC Monza |
| 84' | 🟨 | Gabriele Ferrarini · Venezia FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pietro Ceccaroni · Venezia FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Dany Mota · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | AC Monza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 132.00 | 802.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1499.19 | 1404.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.95 | -6.75 |
| eye test v1 | 1.06 | 0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.69 |
| league points | 21.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 5.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.53 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.91 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 17.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | 1.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| state index | 0.38 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.72 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |