← Serie B 2020 · Sun, Dec 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Gariglio
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.77 |
| Reggiana win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana +0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| AC Monza +0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Ivan Varone · Reggiana |
| 43' | 🟨 | Mario Sampirisi · AC Monza |
| 55' | ⚽ | Igor Radrezza · Reggiana |
| 62' | 🟨 | Arlind Ajeti · Reggiana |
| 69' | 🟨 | Michele Cerofolini · Reggiana |
| 71' | ⚽ | Augustus Kargbo · Reggiana |
| 84' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Bellusci · AC Monza |
| 87' | ⚽ | Simone Mazzocchi · Reggiana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Riccardo Martinelli · Reggiana |
| 90' | 🟥 | Nicolò Cambiaghi · Reggiana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 11 |
| 12 | Fouls | 21 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | AC Monza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 524.00 | 797.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1465.27 | 1417.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.54 | 23.10 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | 0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.71 | 55.89 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.93 | 0.76 |
| league points | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.20 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.98 | 0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.43 | 5.11 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.51 | 27.73 |
| state index | -0.94 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.98 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 1.20 |