← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Dec 5, 02:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Fourneau
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina win | 39% | 2.52 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
| Brescia win | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Reggina −0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.73 |
| Over | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Mario Šitum · Reggina |
| 3' | 🟨 | Ernesto Torregrossa · Brescia |
| 39' | 🟨 | Tom Van De Looi · Brescia |
| 42' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Crisetig · Reggina |
| 51' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Crisetig · Reggina |
| 55' | ⚽ | Germán Denis · Reggina |
| 58' | ⚽ | Antonino Ragusa · Brescia |
| 68' | 🟨 | Filip Jagiełło · Brescia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stefano Sabelli · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggina | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Oreste Granillo |
| coach days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.43 | 1.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1337.11 | 1487.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.02 | -15.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.89 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.33 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| league points | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 6.98 | 7.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.78 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.01 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.11 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.16 | 26.54 |
| state index | -1.26 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.49 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |