← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Dec 5, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Abbattista
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.72 |
| Venezia FC win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Venezia FC −0.5 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.59 |
| Under | 40% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Marco Modolo · Venezia FC |
| 20' | ⚽ | Marco Mancosu · US Lecce |
| 35' | ⚽ | Francesco Forte · Venezia FC |
| 41' | ⚽ | Francesco Forte · Venezia FC |
| 52' | 🟨 | Fabio Lucioni · US Lecce |
| 77' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 81' | 🟨 | Dennis Johnsen · Venezia FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dennis Johnsen · Venezia FC |
| 90' | 🟥 | Dennis Johnsen · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Lecce | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Via del Mare |
| coach days | 126.00 | 126.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1590.31 | 1494.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.97 | 29.98 |
| eye test v1 | 2.40 | 1.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.56 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.70 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | — |
| league points | 18.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 7.71 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.46 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 22.60 | 17.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 7.30 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 11.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 28.73 | 26.46 |
| state index | 1.15 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.40 | -1.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |