← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Dec 5, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Prontera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 35% | 2.96 |
| Cittadella win | 35% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Salernitana +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Marius Adamonis · Salernitana |
| 19' | 🟨 | Romano Perticone · Cittadella |
| 58' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Cittadella |
| 59' | 🟨 | Norbert Gyömbér · Salernitana |
| 60' | 🟨 | Frank Tsadjout · Cittadella |
| 78' | 🟨 | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
| 84' | 🟨 | Mario Gargiulo · Cittadella |
| 86' | ⚽ | Luka Bogdan · Salernitana |
| 87' | 🟨 | Luka Bogdan · Salernitana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 21 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days | 126.00 | 1984.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1483.70 | 1506.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.59 | -4.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | 0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.68 |
| league points | 21.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 5.71 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 2.10 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.30 | 0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.31 | 27.19 |
| state index | 0.44 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.27 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |