← Serie B 2020 · Mon, Nov 30, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Marchetti
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.35 |
| Virtus Entella win | 26% | 3.67 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal +0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Virtus Entella +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Davide Mazzocco · Virtus Entella |
| 25' | 🟨 | Nenad Tomović · Spal |
| 44' | 🟨 | Marco Toscano · Virtus Entella |
| 59' | ⚽ | Federico Di Francesco · Spal |
| 75' | 🟨 | Andrea Settembrini · Virtus Entella |
| 78' | 🟨 | Alberto Paloschi · Spal |
| 86' | 🟨 | Sergio Floccari · Spal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 25 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Virtus Entella | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Chiavari |
| coach days | 29.00 | 121.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1390.76 | 1506.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.97 | 41.38 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.52 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.40 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.75 |
| league points | 5.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 8.25 | 9.29 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.63 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.40 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.57 | 27.08 |
| state index | -1.33 | 0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |