← Serie B 2020 · Sun, Nov 29, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Dionisi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza win | 38% | 2.59 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.23 |
| Salernitana win | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Salernitana +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Patryk Dziczek · Salernitana |
| 25' | 🟨 | Mirko Bruccini · Cosenza |
| 42' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Tacchio · Salernitana |
| 50' | ⚽ | Gennaro Tutino · Salernitana |
| 52' | 🟨 | Riccardo Idda · Cosenza |
| 67' | 🟨 | André Anderson · Salernitana |
| 70' | 🟨 | Norbert Gyömbér · Salernitana |
| 75' | 🟨 | Luka Bogdan · Salernitana |
| 78' | 🟨 | Abou Ba · Cosenza |
| 81' | 🟨 | Abou Ba · Cosenza |
| 81' | 🟥 | Abou Ba · Cosenza |
| 88' | 🟨 | Adrian Petre · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 1459.00 | 120.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 1.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1467.83 | 1472.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.16 | 17.71 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.53 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.50 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.79 |
| league points | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.60 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.72 | -1.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.13 | 28.86 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.80 | -1.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |