← Serie B 2020 · Sun, Nov 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Meraviglia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 39% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Reggiana win | 30% | 3.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana +0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Cremonese +0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Ivan Varone · Reggiana |
| 14' | ⚽ | Andrea Costa · Reggiana |
| 18' | 🟨 | Nadir Zortea · Cremonese |
| 22' | 🟨 | Andrea Costa · Reggiana |
| 36' | 🟨 | Matteo Bianchetti · Cremonese |
| 45' | 🟨 | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 51' | 🟨 | Fausto Rossi · Reggiana |
| 75' | 🟨 | Andrea Costa · Reggiana |
| 75' | 🟥 | Andrea Costa · Reggiana |
| 90' | ⚽ | Luca Strizzolo · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 22 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 26 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 517.00 | 273.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1468.27 | 1420.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -43.60 | -36.90 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.67 | 44.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.50 | 0.61 |
| league points | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.80 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 8.04 | 5.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.57 | — |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.27 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.67 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.20 | 26.29 |
| state index | -0.95 | -0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.07 | -0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 1.00 |