← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Nov 28, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 36% | 2.77 |
| Cittadella win | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Cittadella +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Mario Gargiulo · Cittadella |
| 17' | 🟥 | Simone Benedetti · Pisa |
| 19' | ⚽ (pen) | Roberto Ogunseye · Cittadella |
| 45' | 🟨 | Robert Gucher · Pisa |
| 63' | ⚽ | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
| 66' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Cittadella |
| 75' | 🟨 | Luca Ghiringhelli · Cittadella |
| 82' | 🟨 | Theophilus Awua · Cittadella |
| 87' | ⚽ | Manuel Iori · Cittadella |
| 88' | ⚽ | Michele Marconi · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 22 |
| 2 | On target | 10 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 7 | Fouls | 25 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 911.00 | 1977.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1444.93 | 1488.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.93 | -21.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | 0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.69 |
| league points | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 5.71 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.69 | 26.86 |
| state index | -0.09 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |