← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Nov 28, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Giua
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 37% | 2.80 |
| Brescia win | 33% | 3.13 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia +0.25 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Frosinone Calcio +0.25 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Ernesto Torregrossa · Brescia |
| 25' | 🟨 | Jhon Chancellor · Brescia |
| 27' | ⚽ | Francesco Zampano · Frosinone Calcio |
| 33' | ⚽ | Ernesto Torregrossa · Brescia |
| 64' | 🟨 | Birkir Bjarnason · Brescia |
| 67' | 🟨 | Birkir Bjarnason · Brescia |
| 67' | 🟥 | Birkir Bjarnason · Brescia |
| 69' | 🟨 | Przemysław Szymiński · Frosinone Calcio |
| 78' | 🟨 | Piotr Parzyszek · Frosinone Calcio |
| 84' | 🟨 | Daniele Dessena · Brescia |
| 84' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 19 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 88.00 | 546.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 3.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1499.42 | 1478.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.63 | -21.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 47.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.86 |
| league points | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | 0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| state index | 0.11 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |