← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Nov 28, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Amabile
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 57% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.08 |
| Ascoli win | 18% | 5.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC −0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Ascoli −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Raffaele Pucino · Ascoli |
| 17' | 🟨 | Pasquale Mazzocchi · Venezia FC |
| 23' | 🟨 | Michele Cavion · Ascoli |
| 46' | 🟨 | Riccardo Brosco · Ascoli |
| 52' | 🟨 | Youssef Maleh · Venezia FC |
| 55' | ⚽ | Mattia Aramu · Venezia FC |
| 68' | ⚽ | Luca Fiordilino · Venezia FC |
| 87' | 🟨 | Alberto Gerbo · Ascoli |
| 89' | 🟨 | Riccardo Brosco · Ascoli |
| 89' | 🟥 | Riccardo Brosco · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Fiordilino · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 23 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 119.00 | 27.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.74 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1489.42 | 1384.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.42 | -12.62 |
| eye test v1 | 1.21 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.83 |
| league points | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.55 | — |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 0.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.01 | 25.57 |
| state index | 0.72 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.13 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |