← Serie B 2020 · Mon, Nov 23, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Ros
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 41% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.19 |
| Cremonese win | 28% | 3.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Salernitana −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Luca Valzania · Cremonese |
| 13' | 🟨 | Matteo Bianchetti · Cremonese |
| 17' | 🟨 | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 28' | ⚽ | Milan Đurić · Salernitana |
| 43' | 🟨 | Alessandro Crescenzi · Cremonese |
| 62' | 🟨 | Tiago Casasola · Salernitana |
| 70' | ⚽ | Tomasz Kupisz · Salernitana |
| 75' | 🟨 | Tomasz Kupisz · Salernitana |
| 86' | 🟨 | Walter López · Salernitana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 25 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 10 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days | 114.00 | 267.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1464.83 | 1427.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.60 | -31.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 48.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.74 |
| league points | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 17.00 | 16.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | — |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 0.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.53 | -0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.36 | 27.58 |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.83 | -0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |