← Serie B 2020 · Sun, Nov 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Gariglio
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 40% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.15 |
| Virtus Entella win | 29% | 3.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Ascoli −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
| 30' | 🟨 | Andrea Settembrini · Virtus Entella |
| 36' | 🟨 | Davide Mazzocco · Virtus Entella |
| 56' | 🟨 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
| 56' | 🟥 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
| 70' | 🟥 | Gabriele Corbo · Ascoli |
| 72' | ⚽ (pen) | Matteo Mancosu · Virtus Entella |
| 79' | 🟨 | Marco Chiosa · Virtus Entella |
| 83' | 🟨 | Leonardo Morosini · Virtus Entella |
| 84' | ⚽ | Abdelhamid Sabiri · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 2 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.53 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 21.00 | 21.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -5.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.30 |
| elo | 1385.87 | 1389.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.21 | -24.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 50.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.77 |
| league points | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 21.96 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -10.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 7.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | -0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.92 | 27.12 |
| state index | -0.62 | -1.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |