← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Nov 21, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Illuzzi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 38% | 2.83 |
| Venezia FC win | 32% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Brescia +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Mattia Aramu · Venezia FC |
| 13' | ⚽ | Dimitri Bisoli · Brescia |
| 33' | ⚽ | Francesco Forte · Venezia FC |
| 51' | 🟨 | Alfredo Donnarumma · Brescia |
| 55' | ⚽ | Francesco Forte · Venezia FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Fiordilino · Venezia FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alessandro Capello · Venezia FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Andrea Papetti · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 16 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 81.00 | 112.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 3.19 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1501.52 | 1487.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.08 | 37.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.75 | 0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| league points | 8.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 6.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.43 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.51 | 26.22 |
| state index | -0.08 | 0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | -0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |