← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Nov 21, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: V. Marini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 37% | 2.70 |
| Empoli win | 33% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Empoli +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Amedeo Benedetti · Cittadella |
| 40' | 🟨 | Nicolas Haas · Empoli |
| 64' | 🟨 | Amedeo Benedetti · Cittadella |
| 69' | ⚽ (pen) | Leonardo Mancuso · Empoli |
| 72' | ⚽ | Marco Olivieri · Empoli |
| 90' | 🟥 | Simone Romagnoli · Empoli |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mario Gargiulo · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 1970.00 | 112.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1488.50 | 1544.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.12 | 14.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | 0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.73 |
| league points | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 12.96 | 13.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 2.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 17.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | 0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.33 | 25.31 |
| state index | 0.07 | 0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |