β Serie B 2020 Β· Sat, Nov 21, 01:00 PM UTC Β· ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 58% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.64 |
| Pescara win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal β0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Pescara β0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | β½ | Bartosz Salamon Β· Spal |
| 30' | π¨ | Mattia Valoti Β· Spal |
| 39' | π¨ | Antonio Balzano Β· Pescara |
| 60' | π¨ | Salvatore Esposito Β· Spal |
| 71' | π¨ | Massimiliano Busellato Β· Pescara |
| 73' | π¨ | Caleb Okoli Β· Spal |
| 90' | π¨ | Sebastiano Esposito Β· Spal |
| 90' | β½ | Sebastiano Esposito Β· Spal |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Pescara |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 112.00 | 143.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 3.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1498.33 | 1388.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.69 | -22.39 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.52 |
| league points | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 14.71 | 12.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 0.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.78 | 0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.65 | 26.53 |
| state index | 0.40 | -1.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |