← Serie B 2020 · Sun, Nov 8, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Rapuano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.42 |
| Virtus Entella win | 24% | 4.02 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella +0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| US Lecce +0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Marco Crimi · Virtus Entella |
| 12' | 🟨 | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 20' | 🟨 | Andrea Paolucci · Virtus Entella |
| 37' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 47' | ⚽ | Liam Henderson · US Lecce |
| 49' | ⚽ | Giuseppe De Luca · Virtus Entella |
| 57' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Poli · Virtus Entella |
| 58' | 🟥 | Andrea Paolucci · Virtus Entella |
| 58' | ⚽ (pen) | Marco Mancosu · US Lecce |
| 66' | ⚽ | Luca Paganini · US Lecce |
| 88' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 28 |
| 1 | On target | 14 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 17 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Virtus Entella | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.75 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Chiavari |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mariusz Stępiński · US Lecce |
| coach days | 7.00 | 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1418.59 | 1552.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.98 | -5.91 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | 1.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 49.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | — |
| league points | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 8.21 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 21.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.96 | 0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.81 | 28.57 |
| state index | -0.75 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |