← Serie B 2020 · Sun, Nov 8, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Sozza
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 44% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| Reggiana win | 27% | 3.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC +0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Reggiana +0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.82 |
| Over | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Simone Muratore · Reggiana |
| 11' | ⚽ | Igor Radrezza · Reggiana |
| 19' | ⚽ | Francesco Forte · Venezia FC |
| 28' | 🟨 | Antonio Junior Vacca · Venezia FC |
| 66' | ⚽ | Simone Mazzocchi · Reggiana |
| 67' | 🟨 | Simone Mazzocchi · Reggiana |
| 87' | 🟨 | Michele Cerofolini · Reggiana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 23 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 496.00 | 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | — | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | — | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.58 |
| elo | 1472.55 | 1481.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.45 | 20.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | — | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 1.00 | 0.92 |
| league points | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.50 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 8.04 | 8.04 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 2.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.82 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.50 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.44 | 25.63 |
| state index | -0.62 | 0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.81 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 1.60 |