← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Nov 7, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 39% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.13 |
| Cosenza win | 30% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Brescia +0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | Gianmarco Ingrosso · Cosenza |
| 30' | 🟨 | Andrea Tiritiello · Cosenza |
| 45' | ⚽ | Daniele Dessena · Brescia |
| 46' | 🟨 | Jaime Báez · Cosenza |
| 61' | ⚽ | Filip Jagiełło · Brescia |
| 72' | ⚽ | Mohamed Bahlouli · Cosenza |
| 77' | 🟨 | Jesse Joronen · Brescia |
| 83' | 🟨 | Mirko Bruccini · Cosenza |
| 83' | 🟨 | Ernesto Torregrossa · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 1437.00 | 67.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1459.06 | 1490.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.73 | -12.01 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | -0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.00 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| league points | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 6.92 | 6.92 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.82 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.12 | 24.70 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.85 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |