← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Nov 7, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Marchetti
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Frosinone Calcio win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Frosinone Calcio −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Federico Dionisi · Frosinone Calcio |
| 14' | 🟨 | Grigoris Kastanos · Frosinone Calcio |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marco Fossati · AC Monza |
| 50' | ⚽ | Christian Gytkjær · AC Monza |
| 67' | 🟨 | Carlos Augusto · AC Monza |
| 70' | ⚽ | Dany Mota · AC Monza |
| 79' | 🟨 | Marco Armellino · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 25 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AC Monza | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | U-Power Stadium |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 768.00 | 525.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 3.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.00 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1394.09 | 1515.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.32 | 38.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.93 |
| league points | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.71 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 2.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.66 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.95 | 28.27 |
| state index | -0.17 | 0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |