← Serie B 2020 · Fri, Nov 6, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.21 |
| Salernitana win | 24% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Salernitana −0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Tacchio · Salernitana |
| 6' | ⚽ | Mattia Valoti · Spal |
| 36' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Dickmann · Spal |
| 41' | ⚽ | Federico Di Francesco · Spal |
| 50' | 🟨 | Patryk Dziczek · Salernitana |
| 59' | 🟨 | Ramzi Aya · Salernitana |
| 60' | 🟨 | Simone Missiroli · Spal |
| 81' | 🟨 | Nenad Tomović · Spal |
| 83' | 🟨 | Niccolò Giannetti · Salernitana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Ranieri · Spal |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tiago Casasola · Salernitana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gennaro Tutino · Salernitana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 97.00 | 97.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.46 | 1.29 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1486.28 | 1476.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.71 | 38.34 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.40 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.79 |
| league points | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 66.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 38.00 |
| rest days | 5.25 | 6.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 2.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.77 | -1.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.40 | 28.79 |
| state index | 0.05 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -2.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |