← Serie B 2020 · Sun, Nov 1, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
| Cremonese win | 21% | 4.72 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Cremonese −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.66 |
| Over | 41% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | ⚽ | Marcus Rohdén · Frosinone Calcio |
| 45' | 🟨 | Nicolò Brighenti · Frosinone Calcio |
| 45' | 🟨 | Francesco Zampano · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Samuel Gustafson · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Ravanelli · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 10 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 519.00 | 245.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.29 | 1.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1508.57 | 1461.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.44 | -14.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.86 | 0.67 |
| league points | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 8.25 | 11.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | — |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.32 | 26.52 |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | -0.99 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |