← Serie B 2020 · Sun, Nov 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina win | 43% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.28 |
| Spal win | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Reggina −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Loiacono · Reggina |
| 23' | 🟥 | Jérémy Ménez · Reggina |
| 31' | ⚽ | Lucas Castro · Spal |
| 33' | 🟨 | Nicola Bellomo · Reggina |
| 37' | 🟨 | Mattia Valoti · Spal |
| 60' | 🟨 | Nenad Tomović · Spal |
| 66' | 🟨 | Gianluca Di Chiara · Reggina |
| 69' | 🟨 | Salvatore Esposito · Spal |
| 89' | 🟨 | Marco Sala · Spal |
| 90' | 🟥 | Lucas Castro · Spal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 27 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggina | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Oreste Granillo |
| coach days | 580.00 | 92.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.35 | 3.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1368.55 | 1477.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.98 | 6.33 |
| eye test v1 | 0.56 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.66 |
| league points | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.00 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 8.08 | 8.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.19 | 0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 29.39 | 26.61 |
| state index | -0.15 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.85 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |